Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 242.276212 273.475409 308.282322 350.201220 399.591315 456.272308 526.729195
2024-10-06 195.504854 236.163281 285.668588 351.211917 436.971546 547.177465 702.542109
2024-10-13 165.387896 208.418916 263.800955 341.819076 451.423444 603.957971 839.900458
2024-10-20 146.821407 191.299407 251.132701 339.800880 472.008067 669.085878 1000.269156
2024-10-27 128.314536 171.392020 231.299845 323.587542 467.742277 694.777133 1103.300096
2024-11-03 121.392735 166.460144 231.394704 335.715245 507.248063 794.704408 1354.751298
2024-11-10 116.566679 163.788026 234.120279 351.720773 554.969815 917.262341 1683.140481
2024-11-17 108.720448 155.698748 227.517431 351.494340 574.607747 993.199082 1942.024250
2024-11-24 99.801133 145.091747 215.780528 340.976727 573.840670 1029.697505 2126.249834
2024-12-01 92.345270 136.116469 205.750828 332.057518 574.400624 1068.510327 2328.291869
2024-12-08 89.276914 133.842207 206.431979 342.080743 612.784741 1194.409135 2795.949632
2024-12-15 85.132498 129.444575 203.063287 344.152715 635.390998 1290.514301 3223.981133
2024-12-22 80.077842 123.262988 196.259085 339.304229 643.618756 1357.255252 3603.934725
2024-12-29 76.401528 119.146237 192.740159 340.452293 665.183906 1462.618124 4164.452232
2025-01-05 71.612596 112.766509 184.603379 331.415716 662.348006 1504.526150 4529.366296
2025-01-12 68.238145 108.617913 180.194395 329.474923 675.674346 1593.692078 5126.183573
2025-01-19 63.364314 101.514726 169.767563 313.878009 653.944405 1578.943095 5296.886383
2025-01-26 62.317177 101.176735 172.039928 325.545350 701.271233 1780.374190 6553.183547
2025-02-02 61.730147 101.616878 175.815179 340.936736 761.175963 2041.839737 8355.285637
2025-02-09 59.417414 98.716428 172.804615 340.719043 779.655908 2173.893748 9609.427383
2025-02-16 56.222211 93.983231 165.809552 330.605761 769.269336 2202.829271 10283.218141
2025-02-23 53.407867 89.824025 159.709014 322.026929 762.041500 2242.199029 11079.159880
2025-03-02 52.582840 89.403367 161.195500 331.667484 809.385094 2504.654529 13800.976337